A Record-Breaking Year for Bitcoin
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The year 2021 has been nothing short of remarkable for Bitcoin, an asset that has captured the imagination and financial interest of millions around the globeHowever, as the cryptocurrency continues to break records, there is a mounting concern for the pioneers of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). While they may have been the first to market in this domain, recent developments suggest that their early lead could be slipping away.
The saga began earlier in the year when Canada unveiled its Bitcoin ETF in February, marking a significant milestone as it became the world’s first fund of its kindThis bold move attracted a flood of capital from both domestic and international investors eager to delve into the burgeoning realm of cryptocurrenciesInvestors were enthusiastic, believing that this was a golden opportunity to engage with a revolutionary digital assetHowever, the landscape shifted dramatically when the U.S
market followed suit with its own Bitcoin ETF approvals, prompting a reevaluation among some investors who initially favored the Canadian options.
Statistics from TD Securities paint a sobering picture: as of mid-December, Canadian Bitcoin ETFs have experienced a staggering net outflow of CAD 578 million (approximately USD 405 million) during the yearRemarkably, this makes the Canadian Bitcoin ETF sector the only category facing capital outflows in a year when the cryptocurrency itself has surged over 150%. In contrast, the American Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed explosive inflows, amounting to a record-breaking USD 36 billion by December 16. The disparity is stark, raising questions about the long-term viability of these Canadian financial instruments.
Vlad Tasevski, the asset management head of Purpose Investments Inc- the creator of the world's first Bitcoin ETF - shared insightful observations on this trend
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He noted that several American investors who initially aimed to tap into the potential of Canadian Bitcoin ETFs are now leaning towards their U.ScounterpartsTasevski remarked, “American and large international investors now actually prefer to use U.S.-based ETFs because these markets are the main venues where they trade all their other risk exposuresIt's also predictable considering the U.Sis the largest capital market globally, where most of the liquidity resides.”
Nonetheless, Tasevski remained optimistic, highlighting that there has been a slight net inflow from Canadian investors into the Purpose Bitcoin ETFData indicates that more than 80% of the fund’s CAD 830 million client base consists of Canadian participantsThis loyalty to the domestic ETF may be influenced by the recent depreciation of the Canadian dollar, which encourages local investors to keep their funds closer to home
Andres Rincon, a senior executive in ETF sales and strategy at TD, pointed out that Canadian investors have a strong preference to invest using their local currencyThe Purpose Bitcoin ETF allows them to price their investments in CAD, offering a level of currency hedging that aligns with Canadian residents' preferences.
However, the allure of lower management fees tied to U.SETFs cannot be ignoredThe Fidelity Bitcoin ETF boasts a mere management fee of 0.43%, putting it among the lowest offerings in the industryConversely, many Canadian ETFs present management fees exceeding 1%, which could deter cost-conscious investorsIn a similar vein, the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, one of the largest in the U.S., has an even more attractive management fee, recorded at just 0.25%.
National Bank analyst Tiffany Zhang highlighted these financial aspects, stating, “The primary reason Canadian investors favor U.S
spot Bitcoin and spot Ethereum ETFs is largely due to fees and liquidity.” She emphasized that the index differences and management costs could significantly impact ETF returns, forcing many to reconsider their investment strategiesThe initial launch timing also plays a crucial role; when the Canadian Bitcoin ETF debuted in 2021, Bitcoin was a more elusive asset to accessAs competition heated up and access to Bitcoin became easier, U.S.-based ETFs entered the market at a lower management cost earlier this year.
As competition grew, several Canadian ETFs recognized the need to lower their feesHowever, the sheer trading volume and liquidity associated with U.SETFs grant them the capacity to further drive down costs, placing Canadian ETFs at a competitive disadvantagePaul Cappelli, Galaxy ETF’s strategy chief, acknowledged that while the emergence of U.SBitcoin ETFs has undeniably influenced Canadian markets, attributing the flow of funds solely to this phenomenon would be incomplete
“The Canadian Bitcoin ETF market is more mature than the U.Smarket, leading us to see more strategic behaviors among investors compared to early growth scenarios in the U.S.,” he notedHence, it stands to reason that profit-taking and other individual investor behaviors also illustrate why Canadians are moving funds elsewhere.
Despite the negative net flow expected for Canadian Bitcoin ETFs this year, there is a glimmer of hope from Rincon’s perspective at TDHe suggested that forthcoming reforms from the U.SSecurities and Exchange Commission may usher in new growth opportunities for the cryptocurrency ETF sector, potentially leading to more innovative fund types“If the U.Snot only sees more cryptocurrency applications but also some of these filings transition to Canada, it wouldn’t surprise me,” Rincon concluded.
Overall, the Canadian Bitcoin ETF saga encapsulates the learning curve and competitive dynamics inherent in the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrency investment vehicles
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